Welcome to Hyperthesis Documentation
Hyperthesis introduces a fundamentally new mechanism for predictive trading: conditional betting. Unlike traditional prediction markets where users must pick a single outcome at fixed odds, Hyperthesis lets users express a full belief distribution across all possible outcomes.
Capital is algorithmically routed in real time to outcomes where market odds exceed the user's belief, guaranteeing that all positions are entered on favorable terms. Every accurate belief becomes a passive arbitrage engine, systematically extracting edge from mispriced markets.
Key Features
Users can allocate their belief across multiple outcomes with probabilities that sum to 100%.
Your maximum exposure for each outcome is proportional to your stated belief, preventing overexposure.
Conditional betting enables asynchronous matching, eliminating the need for instant counterparties.
Staked verifiers review evidence and vote on outcomes, with economic incentives for honesty.
Getting Started
Ready to dive deeper?
Start with our comprehensive overview of what makes Hyperthesis unique.